2010 Emmy Predictions: Drama

It's time to get dramatic. The dramatic side of the 2010 Emmys board is much busier than the comedy side, with worthy candidates bloating every category. This is the part where the painful snubs take place and surprises rule.

There are plenty of critical favorites, popular network programs, and dark horses doing battle this year, but the real question is: "Will Mad Men win three in a row?" I don't think so.

Take a look at who I think will get nominated (as opposed to who should get nominated), and check back to see how wrong I was tomorrow morning, when the nominations are announced.

Best Drama Series

AMC's Mad Men has won the award for the last two seasons, but there's going to be a changing of the guard this year. Breaking Bad should win for its remarkable third season, keeping the Best Drama trophy at AMC. Lost's final season will be a popular vote for viewers at home, but it won't win. The longshot in the race is Sons of Anarchy, which should be in the running but won't be because of its ultra-violent content. And hairy, sweaty men.
Our Picks:
(* denotes the nominee we think will win)
Breaking Bad*
Lost
Dexter
Mad Men
The Good Wife
Damages

Sleeper:
Sons of Anarchy

Best Actor, Drama

I'm not a huge fan of three-peats, but when it comes to exemplary acting, Bryan Cranston sets the bar. He's simply a few steps ahead of everyone else. I'm taking a gamble in saying that Matthew Fox will get a nod, but I really think he deserves it this year and Jack's salvation should still be in voters' minds. I'm taking another gamble with Ray Romano, who was brilliant in the very surprisingly good Men of a Certain Age. There really isn't a bad name in this bunch (Hugh Laurie is the odd man out), but I'd love to see Wendell Pierce break through for his work on Treme. He's completely transformed himself from The Wire's Bunk Moreland. And what more can be said about Kyle Chandler? Except that once again, he will be overlooked.
Our Picks:
(* denotes the nominee we think will win)
Matthew Fox, Lost
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad*
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Ray Romano, Men of a Certain Age
Simon Baker, The Mentalist

Sleepers:
Wendell Pierce, Treme
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights

Best Actress, Drama

There are lots of familiar names here as TV once again fails to deliver enough strong female roles in primetime. But returning to the scene is Julianna Margulies with one of the strongest female characters in recent history. She should be a lock. That said, a pair of redheads are the worthy picks here. I well up just thinking about what Katey Sagal went through on this season of Sons of Anarchy, and Connie Britton should already have three Emmys. Instead, she has zero nominations... the crime of the century. And I swear to God, if Anna Paquin gets nominated for True Blood I will jump off a cliff.
Our Picks:
(* denotes nominee we think will win)
Glenn Close, Damages
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife*
Katey Sagal, Sons of Anarchy
Mariska Hargitay, Law & Order: Special Victims Unit
January Jones, Mad Men
Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer

Sleeper:
Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights

Best Supporting Actor, Drama

I hope a slow first half doesn't hurt Aaron Paul's chances this year, as he was ridiculously good through the last half of Breaking Bad, all the way to the show's powerhouse Season 3 finale. And I know Michael Emerson (Lost) is a popular pick, but I still think Josh Holloway deserves a nomination this year. If you've never seen Martin Short actually act his ass off, you obviously didn't see this season of Damages. But this is a two-horse race, with Terry O'Quinn and Paul going for it. We're giving it to the kid. Just a side note: I wanted to make a mention of Zach Gilford's excellent work on Friday Night Lights, but given his mid-season exit, a nomination would seem unfair.
Our Picks:
(* denotes the nominee we think will win)
Josh Holloway, Lost
Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad*
Terry O'Quinn, Lost
John Slattery, Mad Men
Martin Short, Damages
Chris Noth, The Good Wife

Sleepers:
Andre Braugher, Men of a Certain Age

Best Supporting Actress, Drama

If the Supporting Actress award was given for kick-assedness, Khandi Alexander would win in a heartbeat. She laid down something fierce in Treme. However, no one had a better season than Chloe Sevigny in Big Love. She should win, but voters are pretty Mad Men crazy so Elisabeth Moss is primed to walk home with the award. We'll put the asterisk by Sevigny's name though, because she deserves it.
Our Picks:
(* denotes nominee we think will win)
Chandra Wilson, Grey's Anatomy
Rose Byrne, Damages
Khandi Alexander, Treme
Chloe Sevigny, Big Love*
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

Sleeper:
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife

The nominations for the 62nd Primetime Emmy Awards will be revealed Thursday, July 8, at 8:30am Eastern/5:30am Pacific.

Who do you want to see get nominated for an Emmy this year?

Check out our guesses for the Comedy field.


Follow TV.com writer Tim Surette on Twitter: @TimAtTVDotCom

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this list is better than the actual one.
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why is NCIS never given awards? NCIS is working hard and deserves all of these. besides, they were the NUMBER 1 SHOW ON TV this last season, and NCIS: LA was number 1 new show, wtf?
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Sons of Anarchy gets robbed again. :(
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Agreed, Breaking Bad is well equipped to sweep the awards. Bryan Cranston's Walter White has no match this season. A house fan I may be, Hugh Laurie's performance is great, but not breakthrough.
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What is wrong with this.... Were is Fringe and were is John Noble... This is not right
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why is ncis never nominated it deserves all these awards!!!!
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I don't really understand, how John Noble could be overlooked ... :(
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LOST will win it all
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FINALLY Connie Britton and Kyle Chandler got their nomination nods for FNL. Too bad it didn't get on the outstanding drama list--DEFINITELY should have bumped Lost out of the way. That last season was terrible.
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What about Supernatural and Justified? Both shows and their actors are just amazing. I'm bored of seeing Mad Men in the nominations year after year. And, yes, you're absolutely right: if Anna Paquin gets nominated for True Blood I will jump off a cliff with you.
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Dexter, Breaking Bad, Mad Men,and Damages are all my favorite shows, but I hope Damages wins. Maybe if it wins we can get at least one last season for a proper series finale. Also why wasn't John Lithgow nominated for best supporting actor for Dexter.
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i still don't understand why mariska hargitay is nominated year after year after year.
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ummm chloe is not gonna win for big love. the new season was not emmy worthy.
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There are a bunch of great actors that never got nominated so far:

Thomas Gibson for Criminal Minds' '100', for example as well as Matthew Gray Gubler, although he did not get enough screentime on his own this year. But he also directed the best episode of season 5, 'Mosley Lane', so why not a nomination for that? It would make him happier anyway.



Also, Nelson Ellis and Alexander Skarsgard from 'True Blood' are two terrific actors.

And I still think Hugh Laurie should win his long - deserved Emmy for 'House'. Sadly, the chances for that to happen are not very promising anymore because of the huge loss of quality of the show.
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I want more people to watch Treme. HBO rarely does wrong. (ie Carnivale.. bastards)
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And while I'm speaking about Fringe, Anna Torv should get one too.
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I've given up ranting about Jensen Ackles never being nominated, because as well deserving as he is, it's not going to happen ... ever. I absolutely think that John Noble should get a nomination though.
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I hope Breaking Bad wins every nomination.
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'if Anna Paquin gets nominated for True Blood I will jump off a cliff' KISS MA ASS she is one of if not THE best actresses on tv she is AMAZING! and katherine heigal deserves a nod even if she dnt do enough this yr it was still THAT gd nd after that HUGE snub last year! and if Lost and matheww fox dnt take the statue home i will never give a crap about the emmys again......who am i kidding ofcoure i will but ill still h8 the basterds!!!!!!
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I'm amused that you think Lost or any actor in it should be nominated for anything.
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What about Timothy Olyphant?
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Matthew Fox? you're kidding, right? lol
Get rid of the Mad Men bimbos in the Supporting Actress category and work Archie Panjabi in there... seriously.
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Hugh Laurie for Best Actor, definitely. Mariska Hagitay for Best Actress. Martin Short for Best Supporting Actor and Rose Byrne for Best Supporting Actress.
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I don't know what's the big deal with Mariska Hargitay. She's a good actress but the show is so boring and repetitive...but wherever.

And it would be so cool if they nominated someone different for once.
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While losts last season didnt do the actors any good, i would still support Matthew Fox & Josh Holloway.
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THE RANKING :

Lost > Dexter > Braking Bad .
Bryan > Micheal > Fox .
Terry > Aaron > Emerson > Giancarlo Esposito (Underrated) > Josh.
The End > The Getaway > Full & Half Measure .
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I Hope that Lost win this year for it's last amazing season , Dexter & Barking Bad are really the frontrunners this year .
and Mathew Fox should be nominated and if it's another year he should win , but this Year Bryan Cranston performance is an Oscar worthy and Micheal C Hall will be the frontrunner this year . Supprting the winner should be Terry for sure and Josh , Emerson , Aaron and Giancarlo Esposito should all be frontrunners , this year it's really the best in T.v history in years ,
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Matthew Fox really needs to win best actor. I know Bryan Cranston is spectacular, but they need to give it to Fox for the 6 seasons of amazing acting he has done in Lost; he has played his character perfectly for the 6 seasons the show was on.
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greys' chandra wilson and sandra oh have both been nominated consistently the past few years and they out-did themselves this season. not only do i think they both will get in, i think one of them WILL win. they definitely deserve it. sooo overdue.
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"And I swear to God, if Anna Paquin gets nominated for True Blood I will jump off a cliff."

The best thing that came out from TV.com is this sentence :D:D
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Either Michael C Hall or Bryan Cranston should win
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I really hope Michael C Hall wins, he deserves it but as long as Hugh Laurie doesn't get nominated I'm good. I mean I have nothing against the guy, he can act very well but it's not like the 'cranky guy who doesn't like people but helps them anyway' thing requires that much talent, especially in a procedural show and in any case not as much as the other people who deserve it like most people on this list.
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mad men --jon hamm---cgristina hendricks---period
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I would love it if Emily Deschanel from Bones was nominated since she does an amazing job of portraying Brennan but dramedies like Bones are never nominated so it will never happen.
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Breaking Bad all the way!!!! Both Aaron Paul and Bryan Cranston are Excellent. There isn't another show on right now with such flawed and believable characters. It is a combination of great writing and great acting. Other channels should take a much closer look at what AMC is doing, they have brought great acting and writing back to TV.
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I'd love to see Noble get nominated... he was great this year. But I don't know if it would really happen! The Emmys hate sci-fi!
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Shouldn't John Noble at least get a nomination?
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God, Friday Night Lights SOOOO deserves the spot that Lost will undoubtedly get in the drama nominations. And Kyle Chandler and Connie Britton never getting nominated just shows what a joke the Emmies are.
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i wouldn't want arron paul to win. Terry OQuinn needs to win.
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Yay martin short! Hope Damages sweeps lead actress and Katey Segal gets nominated too
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JOSH HOLLOWAY RULES!!
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Best Supporting Actor, Drama = Michael Cudlitz for Southland
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Where is Sandra Oh in the supporting actress category? She and Chandra Wilson are overdo for an Emmy!
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