Dead Pool 2012: Which New Fall Shows Will Get Canceled First?

Do you smell that? It's the smell of death! And it's coming from your TV set. No, it's not the possum that crawled up in your flatscreen and died, it's the abundance of new, not-so-good-looking television shows that will soon debut on the major networks and then find themselves pushing up headstones as they fail spectacularly. MUAHAHAHAHA!

Which is to say, welcome to the 2nd Annual TV.com Dead Pool, where we all come together to revel in the misery of others. This is an interactive game where you predict which new shows will be canceled first. Are you ready? Let's begin.



Selecting Your Shows

– This year, we've made it much easier for you to pick your shows and, more importantly, for me to keep score. Gone are the hand-drawn spreadsheets and abacuses; instead we've built some sweet web-based tools and an automated leaderboard. If you've ever dabbled in creating your own TV.com viewing lineup, you'll be familiar with the layout. And if you have at least two brain cells, you'll probably understand it, too. In the widget below, drag and drop the five shows you think will be canceled first into the blank spots, and then pick a tiebreaker—the show you think will be first to earn a full-season pickup. (For lots more detail on how the game works, see the "Rules" section, below.) The shows are tabbed out by network, so don't forget to click over to see what NBC has to offer because the network is a goldmine for points.

– Once you make your picks, they're automatically saved in the system and good to go. (They're also shareable; we won't be sad if you post them to MySpace and Friendster... or Facebook and Twitter, your call.) If you decide you want to change your picks, simply drag a new show over the one you want to replace and let the magic of the internet handle the rest.

– The shows eligible for the Dead Pool are those that premiere during the major networks' fall premiere season (September through the end of November). No midseason shows are eligible, and no cable shows are eligible.

– Entries will lock after September 30, meaning you can enter (and edit) your lineup up until that date. Because ABC and The CW have several premieres after that date, you'll just have to guess at their chances without seeing a full episode.



The Rules

– The competition is open to all registered TV.com users. IMPORTANT: Please make sure the email address affiliated with your TV.com account is up to date so that we may contact you in the event that 1) you win, 2) there's a problem with your entry, or 3) we want to make fun of you for picking The Mindy Project as one of the shows that will be canceled first.

– The concept is simple: Pick five new shows you think will be canceled first, talk some trash to your friends, and get to some hate-watching! We're not as interested in exactly when shows get canceled as we are in how soon they're canceled. Because all the new shows premiere at different times, scoring is based on how many episodes of a series have aired before its demise. The fewer episodes that make it to air, the more points the show is worth. Points for all your shows will be tallied, and the user with the most points wins.

– New shows typically begin with a 13-episode order, so we calculate each show's score by counting backward from 13 according to how many episodes have aired once a show's cancellation is announced. Wait, don't freak out, it's not THAT confusing! Let me give you an example. Let's say NBC's new comedy Six Hot Friends Having Sex in New York gets canceled after airing four episodes. We take 13 (the number of episodes in the initial order) and subtract four for the number of episodes that did air. That means Six Hot Friends Having Sex in New York is worth nine (13 – 4 = 9) points. Another example: If CBS's Doctor Cop Lawyer is canceled after 10 episodes, it's worth three points (13 – 10 = 3). Get it? Of course you do. Points are only awarded once a cancellation is announced.

– Cancellations aren't always made official by networks that are trying to save face, but it's quite obvious when a show is technically canceled, even if a network says it isn't. If a show gets moved to Saturdays at 11pm or is "temporarily removed from the schedule," it's is as good as canceled, and the TV.com edit team will have the final say on what is and what isn't canceled and how many episodes aired. We'll also make final determinations on any other wacky network decisions, such as a show being canceled and then uncanceled. Our decisions are final, because we rule.

– If you choose a show that gets picked up for a full season, that's bad. You'll lose two points for that. For example, let's say Fox's Quirky Girl Is Unlucky in Love becomes a big hit and gets a full-season order at any time during its run. Those who selected it as one of their five shows headed for cancellation will get two points deducted from their score, because this is a Dead Pool, not a Success Pool. With such a large field of participants, entries that choose a show that gets picked up have almost zero chance of winning.

– Because lots of people can tell when a show stinks, there are bound to be ties. We have a tiebreaker for that! After you pick the five shows you think will be canceled, you'll select a sixth show that you think will be the first to earn a full-season pickup (the opposite of what you were predicting with the other five shows). Do not forget to do this! Multiple entrants lost out last year because they didn't pick a tiebreaker or they didn't pay attention to the rules. This pick does not count toward your overall score, it's only used as a tiebreaker.

– There will be prizes! Assorted schwag from the TV.com offices will find its way to the lucky winners. (Note: Unfortunately, authorities with legal power only allow prizes to go to American residents, so foreigners should work on getting that green card now in order to have a chance at winning a Breaking In notebook that TV.com Managing Editor Jen Trolio has half scribbled in. [Ed. note: It's a Game of Thrones "The North Remembers" notebook, thankyouverymuch. But it is half scribbled in.]



Dead Pool HQ

This page right here is officially Dead Pool HQ. You'll see the Dead Pool picks widget at the top. It's where we'll eventually post a leaderboard, as well as news and updates.



Tips, Hints, and Strategy

– While the general rule of thumb should be "bad shows will get canceled first," that's not always the case. Americans don't always have the best taste. Have you seen the two guys running for president? I mean, come on! Consider a show's potential for mass appeal when picking.

– Don't forget to consider the individual networks! CBS will make its decisions a lot differently than The CW because CBS is loaded with successful shows. CBS will keep a short leash, whereas a CW show can go eight seasons before the network realizes it stinks.

– Don't forget to take note of where new shows fit on the schedule (check out our fall schedule analysis to see what shows will be up against what other shows). Choosing a new series that's up against NCIS is a lot smarter than choosing one that's up against Whitney.

– Don't forget to encourage your friends to play, and once your picks are made click on the Twitter, Facebook, and Google Plus icons to share them with the world. There's also an old-school URL to send to your friends that will show them your picks and take them directly to the Dead Pool homepage. The wonders of technology!

– Good luck, and it is MANDATORY that you have fun. If you do not have fun, you will be removed from the contest and shot into space. With Mario Lopez.



Resources

– Here's Your 2012 Fall TV Schedule, Day by Day

Trailers and descriptions for ABC's new shows!

Trailers and descriptions for CBS's new shows!

Trailers and descriptions for The CW's new shows!

Trailers and descriptions for Fox's new shows!

Trailers and descriptions for NBC's new shows!

Watch the Pilot for J.J. Abrams' Revolution Online Now

Watch the Pilot for Ryan Murphy's The Normal Online Now

Watch the Premieres of the The Mindy Project and Ben and Kate Online Now

Watch the First Episode of Animal Practice Now

Watch the First Episode of Matthew Perry's Go On Now

– Finally, for inspiration, watch this clip. If you want to play the game, you better know the rules.

Comments (107)
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My picks were: Made in Jersey, Animal Practice, The Mob Doctor, Guys With Kids and The Neighbours. So so far I'm kind of on a roll
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http://www.tv.com/users/xo-AnimeFan-xo/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/



Heres my picks... and I must say, I think mine is the most accurate!!
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no fair! you did not give me enough boxes to fill up considering I think most if not all will be cancelled eventually. the real question is how long it will be until each one is cancelled a week, month or maybe only showing one episode.
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First of all, any show on NBC with a SciFi bent. Remember Surface????
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Or Threshold on CBS the same year, both had great potential, don't get me started on V, or The event.
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I was really disappointed when they cancelled that. It was far from great, but I wanted to see what happened next.
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As always, the problem is that the quality of the show has nothing to do with how long it lasts. I mean, there can't be any worse idea for a show than "The Mob Doctor", but it's Fox Monday night in the old House time slot with fairly poor competition. So that'll survive while a good concept show like Last Resort will get yanked 2 weeks in. TV sucks like that.
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Here's mine: http://www.tv.com/users/Geek_Queen/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/



I overthought things and changed my mind a million times and I'm still not satisfied with my list. I may need to tinker with it some more.
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I didn't compete for last year's Dead Pool so I'm a little nervous entering this year.
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without any research i did my list. because no matter how hard i work, i still suck, so i just said let's fuck with it
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http://www.tv.com/users/Ibra/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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http://www.tv.com/users/AllieAllie/lists/deadpool-2012/
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I have been waiting all year for this. I'm ready now, I'm so not getting one of the last places like last year.
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http://www.tv.com/users/luanmorina/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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Long post warning...sorry. Scroll down to the end if you want to see what I ended up choosing.



I've seen the pilots of Revolution and Go on, and I've watched the trailers for most of the others. I still find it very hard to guess.



22-minute shows:



If the idea had been to choose the five *worst* shows, I would put a lot of 22-minute comedies on the list. But people seem to like those, especially the ones I think are really lame.



I think Mindy is the wrong person to play that part, but the show looks a lot less awful than I thought. Its biggest problem is that it's on Fox, and therefore competing with Ben and Kate, which looks like something a lot of people will watch.



Guys with kids looks horrible. But it's on NBC, so it's up against Go on, Animal Practice and Community. Go On seems like a less funny, more depressing version of Matthew Perry's last show Mr. Sunshine, which didn't get a full season pickup.



The neighbors looks too weird, but it's on ABC, so it's up against Malibu Country, which looks horrible.



Partners looks terrible to me, but it's the *only* new 22-minute comedy on CBS, and people seem to watch their shows even when they suck.





43-minute shows:



I'm not going to choose any of the CW shows, because Nikita has been running for years with weak ratings, and even The Secret Circle got a full season. I doubt that Beauty and the beast will get a second season. Emily Owens could be in trouble too.



Made in Jersey looks like something that's not going to get any male viewers, and shows need to get huge ratings to stay on CBS. I don't think it will beat Vegas, and it will definitely not beat Elementary. So I think I'm putting MiJ on the list.



666 Park Avenue looks terrible to me, but people seem excited about it here. I don't know what to make of that. It's on ABC, so it's up against Nashville and Last Resort. Nashville looks like something that can't possibly fail. I think Last Resort will do better than 666 Park Avenue.



I can't imagine that Revolution will get a second season after the failures of Flash Forward and The Event, so it's definitely going on the list. Chicago Fire doesn't look like something I'd watch, but it looks like a safer bet for NBC than Revolution.



The mob doctor is probably safe, because it's the *only* new 43-minute show on Fox.



I think all of these shows are in trouble: Go On, Guys with kids, Animal practice, The New Normal, Malibu Country, 666 Park Avenue, Revolution, Made in Jersey.



But there are four 22-minute NBC comedies on this list. How many comedies can they cancel? Keep in mind that they may also cancel Community. Maybe they can cancel two or three, but not more. Go on is probably going to be one of them. I hope they will also cancel Guys with kids, because I couldn't even make myself finish watching the trailer. It looks ridiculous, and has the most annoying laugh track ever. But it also has cute babies. You know what? I'm taking it off the list. I think the world is *that* messed up.





1. 666 Park Avenue

2. Malibu Country

3. Made in Jersey

4. Revolution

5. Go On.



Tiebreaker: Elementary. (This seems like a sure thing, but I'm starting to think that maybe Arrow is even more obvious. I may change it later).



http://www.tv.com/users/tnetennba/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
More+
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YESSSSSSSSSSSSSS U HAVE NO IDEA HOW LONG I HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR THIS!!! Dead Pool 2011 ate my life last year! I was just sitting here refreshing every hour for weeeeks
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What's going on with the comments? Are there two almost identical pages with different comments? A few hours ago, the comments we see below weren't there, but others were.



Did you first lose all the comments, and people made new ones, and then you restored the original comments while deleting the new ones?
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OK, I get it now. This page has one set of comments, and working "more" links. But there's a different set of comments, and broken "more" links, on the pages that display people's selections.
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I think the Mindy project will be one of the first to bite the dust. Has anybody watched the first episode it was HORRIBLE. I still don't know how I got through it.
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I haven't seen it, but have you seen Guys with kids? I couldn't even make myself finish watching the trailer. I didn't have that problem with Mindy.
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Haven't seen it yet. Is the episode up already?
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http://www.tv.com/users/crazedtvhead91/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/. *cross fingers.
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Do any of you honestly think the rest of us are going to copy-and-paste your link in to see your picks?
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I was thinking that too, but then I realized that it's super easy. If you're using Firefox, just mark the link text, right-click and choose "open link in new tab". If you're not using Firefox...you should start.
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Meh. I don't care how easy it is. I'd be interested in seeing %s like the poll for the sophomore shows, but everybody's individual picks...boring.
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I can say that I've checked out many lists made by others. I think it's fun to see what the public opinion is regarding new shows. So yes, I do actually copy-paste links...
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http://www.tv.com/users/mistycold/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/ (Hope to be wrong about Last Resort lol :D]
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"...scoring is based on how many episodes of a series have aired before its demise. The fewer episodes that make it to air, the more points the show is worth."



What if one show airs 13 episodes, but the cancellation was made public after 8 episodes, while another show is cancelled after 9 episodes and is immediately taken off the air?



I'm guessing that you will consider the latter show to have been cancelled earlier. In that case, I think there will be a lot of ties, since they will probably air exactly 13 episodes of a lot of shows. On the other hand, it may not help to go by how many episodes have aired when the the cancellation is made public, because they all seem to wait as long as possible before they make it public.
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I can't recall what the rule was last year, but I think it's based upon how many actually air.

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http://www.tv.com/users/BrookeDsBaby/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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These are mine.

http://www.tv.com/users/phonzee101/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/

Let the games begin!!!!
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Here is My Line up.

Let see what will happen...

http://www.tv.com/users/JO168/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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I reckon I'm gonna change this once I see a few eps...



http://www.tv.com/users/Super_Dooper/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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We'll see... good luck everyone!



http://www.tv.com/users/ToddMurray/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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Go On will get picked up first. The pilot was fantastic, it's a half hour comedy so its cheaper to produce, and NBC loves Matthew Perry.
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Also, my results- http://www.tv.com/users/LeePierce/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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I need to catch up quick with ALL the upcoming shows (though i've got my favourites lined up)

but here's my pick: http://www.tv.com/users/marlonjones/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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http://www.tv.com/users/Eric10301/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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http://www.tv.com/users/firetoon12/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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here's mine



http://www.tv.com/users/ziero/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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rooting for Chicago Fire. I lost breakout kings. so best get a season or heads will roll.
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I'm going to have to look into the shows a little more carefully before deciding. I've only really looked into a couple of the shows I'm pretty sure will make it, not the one's that will get canned.
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Or the best comebacks.
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Hmm....Mmhmm....care to elaborate? Or.....or are you just angry at life?
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No, I'm fine with life. And usually good with comebacks. But this felt unreasonable. Politics are shitty, of course, but I think we've got one candidate who is normal, respects people, and lies less, and then there's Mitt Romney.
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http://www.tv.com/users/sunnysfunny/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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I have the feeling that Guys with Kids will be the new Whitney ...



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I hope you're wrong. NOT because of the game but because when shows like Whitney don't get canned... my TV dies a little more and I happen to like my TV.
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You people are making me curious about Whitney. I still haven't seen it. It's not that I think I might like it. I'm just curious about how bad it can be.
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Here's mine!

http://www.tv.com/users/greysanatomy12/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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My face when I started to read the directions (after already filling out my pool): "...we want to make fun of you for picking The Mindy Project as one of the shows that will be canceled first."

><
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and mine...



http://www.tv.com/users/Baiken/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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I feel I may regret choosing three NBC shows, but anyway her's mine.



http://www.tv.com/users/layton2012/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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Don't hate on Jordana Spiro!! :(



We're on the same page with Elementary and Animal Practice though.



My other picks were Ben & Kate, Emily Owens, Mindy Project and Nashville.



Nashville and Emily Owens seem good, but I can't really see the premise lasting more than a season without getting tired.
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I really dig Jordana Spiro so I hope it's a hit for her sake. Not to mention I think it actually looks enjoyable and I also like Zach Gilford. That being said it was my pick for NBC's first show to go. Fingers crossed that it does well.
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yeah but don't forget that this is about EARLY cancellation not just any cancellation.
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quick adjustment now it's only 2 NBC shows.
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all of them
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Why isn't Family Tools available for picking? Is it because some shows are too obvious?
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No midseason shows are eligible !
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That was one of my picks too and was disappointed that it wasn't there
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It's tricky to pick an NBC show because lately they tend to let the shows run a full 13 episodes no matter how bad. CW also tends to be slow to cancel and lets shows run much longer than they should.



The automated system is interesting but one of the problems with this automated system is that you can't change picks after you pick the five.
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You can, but the method is really annoying. If you e.g. want to change the order of shows A and B. Pick another show, C, and drag it to A. Then you drag A to B, and finally B to C.
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I remember "Whitney" being plastered on the header on all of these last year & we all know how that worked out.
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I am CONFIDENT another Matthew Perry show will go down in flames, and Emily Owens MD is DOA. Arrow just looked stupid, so that should be easy enough. As for the rest? No idea. Guys with Kids looks lame.



http://www.tv.com/users/DinChild/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/

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Go On looks like his last one (I don't even remember the name), but less funny and kind of depressing.
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http://www.tv.com/users/zeddyp/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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Alright, I didn't do this last year, so I have no idea how my instincts are!



http://www.tv.com/users/GCCHumanBeing/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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http://www.tv.com/users/MissZag/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/



I read all the preview links, and several of my choices for cancellation aren't even options to choose. Do I win? LOL
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Here is mine. I don't think I'm going to win. I really don't know much about almost all the new shows this year.

http://www.tv.com/users/demonrob36/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/
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Staff
http://www.tv.com/users/efonsecajr/features/season-premieres-2012-deadpool/



Animal Practice is so terrible. "Go On" should be canceled just based on its name alone. Hopeful for VEGAS but....the promos stink.
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